MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
TOR · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Bieber.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Michael Lorenzen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Bieber wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Michael Lorenzen wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Shane Bieber
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
8.1%
Shane Bieber
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
14.6%
Shane Bieber
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
24.4%
Shane Bieber
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Michael Lorenzen
46.5%
Shane Bieber
46.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Michael Lorenzen
9.2%
Shane Bieber
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Michael Lorenzen
.370
Shane Bieber
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Michael Lorenzen
4.537.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
5.35
Shane Bieber
4.537.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
5.30
WHIPlower is better
Michael Lorenzen
1.172.24
now 1.90
1.56
Shane Bieber
1.172.24
now 2.00
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Michael Lorenzen
4057.80
now 43
10
Shane Bieber
4057.80
now 6
8
Winshigher is better
Michael Lorenzen
.0002.80
now 2
01
Shane Bieber
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90
Sell HighShane Bieber — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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