week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Michael Lorenzen
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Lorenzen is a sell — skill below league and not unlucky.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
Sell
high0.90
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.88 +1.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed46.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL213 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL213 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.374
lg avg .315 ▲+.059trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL279 / 200 TBF
xERA5.88
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.78trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL279 / 200 TBF
ERA7.22
lg avg 4.10 ▲+3.12too early to trust
NOISE57.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %15.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL279 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL279 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.391
lg avg .295 ▲+.096too early to trust
NOISE213 / 800 BIP