MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
COL · P
Change to
Noah Schultz
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Michael Lorenzen.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Noah Schultz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Michael Lorenzen wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Noah Schultz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Noah Schultz
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
8.7%
Noah Schultz
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
16.3%
Noah Schultz
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Michael Lorenzen
25.1%
Noah Schultz
25.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Michael Lorenzen
46.2%
Noah Schultz
37.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Michael Lorenzen
8.5%
Noah Schultz
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Michael Lorenzen
.356
Noah Schultz
.372
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Michael Lorenzen
4.088.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
4.98
Noah Schultz
4.088.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.82
5.37
WHIPlower is better
Michael Lorenzen
1.122.12
now 1.90
1.49
Noah Schultz
1.122.12
now 1.34
1.50

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Michael Lorenzen
4055.40
now 43
49
Noah Schultz
4055.40
now 33
48
Winshigher is better
Michael Lorenzen
.0005.20
now 2
13
Noah Schultz
.0005.20
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90
SellNoah Schultz — sell.conf 0.90
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