MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Cristian Javier
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cristian Javier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Michael Lorenzen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cristian Javier wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Michael Lorenzen wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cristian Javier
93.2
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
15.5%
Michael Lorenzen
8.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
22.4%
Michael Lorenzen
14.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
32.8%
Michael Lorenzen
24.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cristian Javier
35.6%
Michael Lorenzen
46.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cristian Javier
9.4%
Michael Lorenzen
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cristian Javier
.340
Michael Lorenzen
.370
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cristian Javier
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 12.54
4.65
Michael Lorenzen
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
5.35
WHIPlower is better
Cristian Javier
12.55
now 2.36
1.39
Michael Lorenzen
12.55
now 1.90
1.56

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cristian Javier
4058.60
now 4
4
Michael Lorenzen
4058.60
now 43
10
Winshigher is better
Cristian Javier
.0002.80
now 0
00
Michael Lorenzen
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellCristian Javier — hold.conf 0.60
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90
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