MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Cristian Javier
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cristian Javier wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Merrill Kelly wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cristian Javier
93.2
Merrill Kelly
92.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
15.5%
Merrill Kelly
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
22.4%
Merrill Kelly
15.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
32.8%
Merrill Kelly
34.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cristian Javier
35.6%
Merrill Kelly
42.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cristian Javier
9.4%
Merrill Kelly
11.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cristian Javier
.340
Merrill Kelly
.387
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cristian Javier
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 12.54
4.65
Merrill Kelly
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
5.80
WHIPlower is better
Cristian Javier
12.55
now 2.36
1.39
Merrill Kelly
12.55
now 1.46
1.44

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cristian Javier
4044.60
now 4
4
Merrill Kelly
4044.60
now 33
9
Winshigher is better
Cristian Javier
.0007
now 0
00
Merrill Kelly
.0007
now 5
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellCristian Javier — hold.conf 0.60
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90
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