Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryMerrill
81K ←80
5.32ERA ←6.15
1.44WHIP ←1.45
2–5W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
BrayanCategoryMerrill
40K ←33
5.63ERA →5.06
1.64WHIP →1.46
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Bello
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.97 +1.87 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Merrill Kelly
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.26 +3.16 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Bello projects for 81 K vs Kelly's 80 K; ERA (5.32 to 6.15) and WHIP (1.44 to 1.45) nearly identical. The sell verdicts match; neither offers a category edge.