Who's more valuable, rest of season
Brayan Bello.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Merrill Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Brayan Bello wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Merrill Kelly wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
95.4
Merrill Kelly
92.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
11.9%
Merrill Kelly
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
17.0%
Merrill Kelly
15.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.5%
Merrill Kelly
34.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
40.9%
Merrill Kelly
42.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
7.8%
Merrill Kelly
11.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.351
Merrill Kelly
.387
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
4.536.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
4.89
Merrill Kelly
4.536.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
5.80
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.321.73
now 1.64
1.41
Merrill Kelly
1.321.73
now 1.46
1.44
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4052.40
now 40
9
Merrill Kelly
4052.40
now 33
9
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0007
now 2
0–1
Merrill Kelly
.0007
now 5
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90

