Who's more valuable, rest of season
Brayan Bello.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Merrill Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Brayan Bello wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Merrill Kelly wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
94.7
Merrill Kelly
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.3%
Merrill Kelly
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
16.6%
Merrill Kelly
14.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.0%
Merrill Kelly
34.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
44.1%
Merrill Kelly
44.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
10.4%
Merrill Kelly
13.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.373
Merrill Kelly
.406
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
4.566.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.39
Merrill Kelly
4.566.80
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
6.30
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.331.73
now 1.64
1.42
Merrill Kelly
1.331.73
now 1.46
1.44
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4046.60
now 40
41
Merrill Kelly
4046.60
now 33
40
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0009.40
now 2
1–3
Merrill Kelly
.0009.40
now 5
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90

