week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %16.6%—−2.8% ▼vs his ~19.4% career norm
- Walk %8.1%—−0.2% ▼vs his ~8.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.08 +1.98 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed44.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
222 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
222 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.373
lg avg .315 ▲+.058vs his norm —
296 / 200 TBF
xERA6.08
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.98vs his norm —
296 / 200 TBF
ERA6.06
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.96vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
65.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm −2.8% ▼
296 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm −0.2% ▼
296 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.329
lg avg .295 ▲+.034vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
222 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
296 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
296 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —
1102 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.6%→17.7%signal42 K — K% 16.6% (signal) lifted to career ~19.4% → projected 17.7% over ~55 remaining IP.
xERA 6.08signal5.39 ERA — xERA 6.08 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 56 IP.
BB% 8.1% + contactsignal1.42 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.304 gives a 1.49 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role1-3 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop42 K ROS, 5.39 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.