MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 13, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brayan Bello’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brayan Bello wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
94.6
Matt Waldron
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.2%
Matt Waldron
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
15.6%
Matt Waldron
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
31.9%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
44.1%
Matt Waldron
39.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
9.9%
Matt Waldron
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.377
Matt Waldron
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.48
Matt Waldron
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.141.87
now 1.64
1.45
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4057
now 40
47
Matt Waldron
4057
now 22
45
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.2003.80
now 2
13
Matt Waldron
.2003.80
now 1
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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