MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brayan Bello’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brayan Bello wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
95.8
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.3%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
18.3%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.6%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
40.2%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
7.3%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.337
Matt Waldron
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
4.61
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.141.87
now 1.64
1.37
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4056
now 40
0
Matt Waldron
4056
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.78
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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