MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Brayan Bello wins 1 (ERA); Grant Holmes wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
95.8
Grant Holmes
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.3%
Grant Holmes
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
18.3%
Grant Holmes
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.6%
Grant Holmes
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
40.2%
Grant Holmes
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
7.3%
Grant Holmes
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.337
Grant Holmes
.342
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
3.286.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
4.61
Grant Holmes
3.286.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.95
4.72
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.211.76
now 1.64
1.37
Grant Holmes
1.211.76
now 1.33
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4074.20
now 40
0
Grant Holmes
4074.20
now 53
0
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0004.20
now 2
0–0
Grant Holmes
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.78
Sell HighGrant Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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