MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jacob Lopez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins. Brayan Bello’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jacob Lopez wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Brayan Bello wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
94.9
Jacob Lopez
90.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.1%
Jacob Lopez
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
17.0%
Jacob Lopez
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
31.8%
Jacob Lopez
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
43.4%
Jacob Lopez
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
9.8%
Jacob Lopez
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.367
Jacob Lopez
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
2.517.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.26
Jacob Lopez
2.517.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.242.01
now 1.64
1.41
Jacob Lopez
1.242.01
now 1.84
1.52

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4045.60
now 40
33
Jacob Lopez
4045.60
now 38
33
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.0006.60
now 2
12
Jacob Lopez
.0006.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
BuyJacob Lopez — buy.conf 0.71
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