Rest of Season Projection
ErickCategoryMichael
70K →89
4.42ERA ←5.26
1.45WHIP ←1.47
0–0W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ErickCategoryMichael
34K →43
5.40ERA ←7.22
1.48WHIP ←1.90
0W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erick Fedde
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael Lorenzen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.89 +1.79 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Michael Lorenzen: 89 K / 5.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).