Rest of Season Projection
ErickCategoryMerrill
70K →80
4.42ERA ←6.15
1.45WHIP1.45
0–0W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
ErickCategoryMerrill
34K ←33
5.40ERA →5.06
1.48WHIP →1.46
0W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erick Fedde
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Merrill Kelly
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.26 +3.16 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Merrill Kelly: 80 K / 6.15 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).