MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Griffin Canning wins 2 (K, ERA); Merrill Kelly wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Griffin Canning
94.2
Merrill Kelly
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
10.5%
Merrill Kelly
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
21.8%
Merrill Kelly
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Griffin Canning
23.3%
Merrill Kelly
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
48.9%
Merrill Kelly
42.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Griffin Canning
9.6%
Merrill Kelly
14.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Griffin Canning
.345
Merrill Kelly
.408
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Griffin Canning
3.728.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.16
4.70
Merrill Kelly
3.728.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
6.32
WHIPlower is better
Griffin Canning
1.391.62
now 1.55
1.50
Merrill Kelly
1.391.62
now 1.46
1.46

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Griffin Canning
4071.80
now 27
59
Merrill Kelly
4071.80
now 33
55
Winshigher is better
Griffin Canning
.00014
now 0
00
Merrill Kelly
.00014
now 5
410

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGriffin Canning — hold.conf 0.60
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90
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