Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryMerrill
73K →80
5.12ERA ←6.15
1.45WHIP1.45
2–5W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
AdrianCategoryMerrill
35K ←33
5.59ERA →5.06
1.56WHIP →1.46
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Houser
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.67 +1.57 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Merrill Kelly
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.26 +3.16 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Adrian Houser: 73 K / 5.12 ERA. Merrill Kelly: 80 K / 6.15 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).