Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryAndrew
73K →81
5.12ERA →4.50
1.45WHIP →1.38
2–5W ←1–3
0SV0
Current Season
AdrianCategoryAndrew
35K →43
5.59ERA ←5.74
1.56WHIP →1.52
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Houser
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.67 +1.57 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Adrian Houser: 73 K / 5.12 ERA. Andrew Painter: 81 K / 4.50 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).