Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryErick
81K ←70
4.50ERA →4.42
1.38WHIP ←1.45
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryErick
43K ←34
5.74ERA →5.40
1.52WHIP →1.48
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Erick Fedde
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Painter: 81 K / 4.50 ERA. Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).