Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBrayan
81K81
4.50ERA ←5.32
1.38WHIP ←1.44
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBrayan
43K ←40
5.74ERA →5.63
1.52WHIP ←1.64
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brayan Bello
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.97 +1.87 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Painter: 81 K / 4.50 ERA. Brayan Bello: 81 K / 5.32 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).