MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Painter wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Nick Lodolo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.5
Nick Lodolo
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
10.8%
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
17.7%
Nick Lodolo
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
32.3%
Nick Lodolo
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
35.2%
Nick Lodolo
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
9.6%
Nick Lodolo
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.348
Nick Lodolo
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
4.456.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.82
Nick Lodolo
4.456.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.42
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.301.59
now 1.52
1.42
Nick Lodolo
1.301.59
now 1.37
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4051.40
now 43
35
Nick Lodolo
4051.40
now 22
37
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.0005.20
now 1
11
Nick Lodolo
.0005.20
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Painter — hold.conf 0.60
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
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