MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Freeland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Andrew Painter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kyle Freeland wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Andrew Painter wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.5
Kyle Freeland
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
10.8%
Kyle Freeland
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
17.7%
Kyle Freeland
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
32.3%
Kyle Freeland
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
35.2%
Kyle Freeland
43.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
9.6%
Kyle Freeland
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.348
Kyle Freeland
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
3.528.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.82
Kyle Freeland
3.528.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.06
5.09
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.191.86
now 1.52
1.42
Kyle Freeland
1.191.86
now 1.71
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4048.60
now 43
35
Kyle Freeland
4048.60
now 43
36
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.5201.48
now 1
11
Kyle Freeland
.5201.48
now 1
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Painter — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellKyle Freeland — hold.conf 0.60
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