Who's more valuable, rest of season
Andrew Painter.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Merrill Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Andrew Painter wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Merrill Kelly wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.6
Merrill Kelly
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
10.9%
Merrill Kelly
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
18.3%
Merrill Kelly
15.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
31.5%
Merrill Kelly
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
36.5%
Merrill Kelly
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
9.4%
Merrill Kelly
13.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.349
Merrill Kelly
.397
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
4.356.56
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.84
Merrill Kelly
4.356.56
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
6.07
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.351.59
now 1.52
1.42
Merrill Kelly
1.351.59
now 1.46
1.42
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4048.60
now 43
33
Merrill Kelly
4048.60
now 33
30
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.0008.40
now 1
0–1
Merrill Kelly
.0008.40
now 5
3–6
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Painter — hold.conf 0.60
SellMerrill Kelly — sell.conf 0.90