MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kodai Senga.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Michael Lorenzen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kodai Senga wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Michael Lorenzen wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kodai Senga
96.2
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
13.2%
Michael Lorenzen
8.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
25.2%
Michael Lorenzen
15.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
26.7%
Michael Lorenzen
25.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
39.0%
Michael Lorenzen
46.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
13.0%
Michael Lorenzen
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kodai Senga
.350
Michael Lorenzen
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kodai Senga
3.208.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.86
Michael Lorenzen
3.208.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
5.09
WHIPlower is better
Kodai Senga
1.332.13
now 1.95
1.51
Michael Lorenzen
1.332.13
now 1.90
1.51

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kodai Senga
4051
now 23
40
Michael Lorenzen
4051
now 43
33
Winshigher is better
Kodai Senga
.0002.80
now 0
00
Michael Lorenzen
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellKodai Senga — hold.conf 0.60
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90
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