Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryMichael
84K →89
5.57ERA →5.26
1.36WHIP ←1.47
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
KyleCategoryMichael
43K43
8.06ERA →7.22
1.71WHIP ←1.90
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Freeland
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.36 +2.26 vs league with no luck excuse
Michael Lorenzen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.89 +1.79 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kyle Freeland: 84 K / 5.57 ERA. Michael Lorenzen: 89 K / 5.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).