MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Freeland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Brayan Bello’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kyle Freeland wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Brayan Bello wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brayan Bello
95.0
Kyle Freeland
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
12.1%
Kyle Freeland
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
17.1%
Kyle Freeland
18.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brayan Bello
32.0%
Kyle Freeland
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
42.5%
Kyle Freeland
43.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brayan Bello
9.3%
Kyle Freeland
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brayan Bello
.364
Kyle Freeland
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brayan Bello
3.908.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
5.19
Kyle Freeland
3.908.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.06
5.09
WHIPlower is better
Brayan Bello
1.191.86
now 1.64
1.40
Kyle Freeland
1.191.86
now 1.71
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brayan Bello
4048.60
now 40
32
Kyle Freeland
4048.60
now 43
35
Winshigher is better
Brayan Bello
.5202.48
now 2
12
Kyle Freeland
.5202.48
now 1
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBrayan Bello — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellKyle Freeland — hold.conf 0.60
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