MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Rhett Lowder
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Lodolo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Rhett Lowder’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Nick Lodolo wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Rhett Lowder wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
94.1
Rhett Lowder
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
10.3%
Rhett Lowder
8.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
18.0%
Rhett Lowder
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
31.5%
Rhett Lowder
24.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
39.7%
Rhett Lowder
39.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
8.2%
Rhett Lowder
8.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
.374
Rhett Lowder
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Lodolo
4.625.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.36
Rhett Lowder
4.625.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.01
4.84
WHIPlower is better
Nick Lodolo
1.301.55
now 1.37
1.41
Rhett Lowder
1.301.55
now 1.45
1.48

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
4082.20
now 22
65
Rhett Lowder
4082.20
now 31
51
Winshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
.0009
now 2
37
Rhett Lowder
.0009
now 3
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
SellRhett Lowder — sell.conf 0.89
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