Rest of Season Projection
AdrianCategoryJacob
73K →163
5.12ERA →2.19
1.45WHIP →0.98
2–5W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
AdrianCategoryJacob
35K →108
5.59ERA →1.65
1.56WHIP →0.79
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adrian Houser
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.67 +1.57 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Adrian Houser: 73 K / 5.12 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).