MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SF · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Waldron.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Adrian Houser’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Adrian Houser wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.7
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.4%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
16.0%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.8%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
42.0%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
8.7%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.339
Matt Waldron
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.65
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.141.87
now 1.56
1.35
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4049
now 35
0
Matt Waldron
4049
now 22
0
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.81
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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