MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SF · P
Change to
Quinn Mathews
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Quinn Mathews.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Adrian Houser’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Quinn Mathews wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Adrian Houser wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Houser
95.7
Quinn Mathews
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
8.4%
Quinn Mathews
11.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
16.0%
Quinn Mathews
20.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Houser
25.8%
Quinn Mathews
26.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
42.0%
Quinn Mathews
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Houser
8.7%
Quinn Mathews
2.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Houser
.339
Quinn Mathews
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Houser
2.806.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
4.63
Quinn Mathews
2.806.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Houser
1.102
now 1.56
1.35
Quinn Mathews
1.102
now 1.80
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Houser
4047.80
now 35
8
Quinn Mathews
4047.80
now 3
6
Winshigher is better
Adrian Houser
.0002.80
now 2
01
Quinn Mathews
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdrian Houser — sell.conf 0.79
Buy LowQuinn Mathews — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
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