MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

AJ Blubaugh.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Gordon Graceffo’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

AJ Blubaugh wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Gordon Graceffo wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.7
Gordon Graceffo
95.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
13.8%
Gordon Graceffo
7.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
24.2%
Gordon Graceffo
16.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
29.6%
Gordon Graceffo
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
34.6%
Gordon Graceffo
45.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
8.0%
Gordon Graceffo
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.301
Gordon Graceffo
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
25.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
3.75
Gordon Graceffo
25.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.80
4.61
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
.9001.63
now 1.31
1.33
Gordon Graceffo
.9001.63
now 0.90
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4036
now 28
14
Gordon Graceffo
4036
now 14
8
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0005.20
now 2
12
Gordon Graceffo
.0005.20
now 4
13
Saveshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0002.40
now 0
0
Gordon Graceffo
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAJ Blubaugh — buy.conf 0.70
Sell HighGordon Graceffo — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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