Rest of Season Projection
BrockCategoryGordon
41K ←23
3.77ERA ←3.85
1.26WHIP1.26
1–2W →3–8
1–3SV ←1–2
Current Season
BrockCategoryGordon
27K ←14
3.62ERA →1.80
1.39WHIP →0.90
1W →4
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brock Burke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.68 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brock Burke: 41 K / 3.77 ERA. Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).