Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryLuinder
23K →51
3.85ERA →3.73
1.26WHIP1.26
3–8W ←1–3
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryLuinder
14K →25
1.80ERA ←4.44
0.90WHIP ←1.71
4W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Luinder Avila
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.29)
Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Luinder Avila: 51 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).