MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Bruihl wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Luinder Avila wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
91.6
Luinder Avila
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
8.1%
Luinder Avila
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
15.3%
Luinder Avila
20.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
27.4%
Luinder Avila
26.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
37.0%
Luinder Avila
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
3.4%
Luinder Avila
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
.315
Luinder Avila
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Bruihl
3.734.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
3.98
Luinder Avila
3.734.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.44
4.42
WHIPlower is better
Justin Bruihl
1.261.84
now 1.46
1.39
Luinder Avila
1.261.84
now 1.71
1.52

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
4040.80
now 18
17
Luinder Avila
4040.80
now 25
34
Winshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
.0002.80
now 0
00
Luinder Avila
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJustin Bruihl — hold.conf 0.60
SellLuinder Avila — sell.conf 0.76
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