MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luinder Avila.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luinder Avila wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Ryan Watson wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luinder Avila
96.2
Ryan Watson
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
10.0%
Ryan Watson
11.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
20.9%
Ryan Watson
17.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
26.8%
Ryan Watson
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luinder Avila
33.3%
Ryan Watson
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luinder Avila
6.8%
Ryan Watson
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luinder Avila
.331
Ryan Watson
.379
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luinder Avila
3.845.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.44
4.28
Ryan Watson
3.845.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
5.38
WHIPlower is better
Luinder Avila
1.231.85
now 1.71
1.54
Ryan Watson
1.231.85
now 1.46
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luinder Avila
4043.60
now 25
38
Ryan Watson
4043.60
now 29
30
Winshigher is better
Luinder Avila
.0002.80
now 1
12
Ryan Watson
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellLuinder Avila — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyan Watson — sell.conf 0.90
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