MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Blubaugh wins 2 (ERA, W); Ryan Watson wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.6
Ryan Watson
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
13.1%
Ryan Watson
11.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
21.9%
Ryan Watson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
27.2%
Ryan Watson
30.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
34.9%
Ryan Watson
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
7.8%
Ryan Watson
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.315
Ryan Watson
.392
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
3.395.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
3.95
Ryan Watson
3.395.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
4.08
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
1.191.54
now 1.31
1.43
Ryan Watson
1.191.54
now 1.46
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4040.60
now 28
30
Ryan Watson
4040.60
now 29
35
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0004.20
now 2
13
Ryan Watson
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAJ Blubaugh — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRyan Watson — hold.conf 0.50
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