MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Riley Cornelio
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Blubaugh wins 2 (K, W); Riley Cornelio wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.6
Riley Cornelio
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
13.3%
Riley Cornelio
17.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
24.1%
Riley Cornelio
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
28.7%
Riley Cornelio
32.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
35.5%
Riley Cornelio
47.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
7.8%
Riley Cornelio
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.311
Riley Cornelio
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
2.487.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
3.92
Riley Cornelio
2.487.97
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
.9002.55
now 1.31
1.37
Riley Cornelio
.9002.55
now 2.75
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4038.40
now 28
19
Riley Cornelio
4038.40
now 2
12
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0002.80
now 2
12
Riley Cornelio
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAJ Blubaugh — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
Buy LowRiley Cornelio — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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