MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sean Manaea.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. AJ Blubaugh’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sean Manaea wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); AJ Blubaugh wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.6
Sean Manaea
90.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
13.1%
Sean Manaea
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
21.9%
Sean Manaea
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
27.2%
Sean Manaea
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
34.9%
Sean Manaea
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
7.8%
Sean Manaea
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.315
Sean Manaea
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
3.475.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
3.95
Sean Manaea
3.475.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.08
3.93
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
1.221.53
now 1.31
1.43
Sean Manaea
1.221.53
now 1.46
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4065.80
now 28
30
Sean Manaea
4065.80
now 42
55
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0004.20
now 2
13
Sean Manaea
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAJ Blubaugh — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowSean Manaea — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.77
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