MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
AJ Smith-Shawver
ATL · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Smith-Shawver wins 0 (none); Matt Waldron wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
96.0
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
11.5%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
17.5%
Matt Waldron
17.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
28.9%
Matt Waldron
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
38.0%
Matt Waldron
36.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
8.5%
Matt Waldron
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.336
Matt Waldron
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
4.10
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.08
WHIPlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
1.141.87
now 1.38
1.30
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
4029.20
now 4
10
Matt Waldron
4029.20
now 22
10
Winshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.0001.48
now 0
00
Matt Waldron
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAJ Smith-Shawver — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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