MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
AJ Smith-Shawver
ATL · P
Change to
Nick Pivetta
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Smith-Shawver wins 0 (none); Nick Pivetta wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
96.3
Nick Pivetta
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
10.8%
Nick Pivetta
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
17.3%
Nick Pivetta
30.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
30.7%
Nick Pivetta
35.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
36.1%
Nick Pivetta
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
8.2%
Nick Pivetta
10.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.330
Nick Pivetta
.277
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
3.884.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
4.10
Nick Pivetta
3.884.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.10
WHIPlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
1.031.48
now 1.38
1.30
Nick Pivetta
1.031.48
now 1.13
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
4033.60
now 4
0
Nick Pivetta
4033.60
now 24
0
Winshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Nick Pivetta
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAJ Smith-Shawver — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeNick Pivetta — hold.conf 0.50
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