Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryColt
6HR ←5
26R →34
37RBI →39
0SB0
.225AVG ←.178
Current Season
AlecCategoryColt
6HR ←3
17R ←7
24RBI ←8
0SB0
.210AVG →.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Bohm
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.290 below league with no luck excuse
Colt Emerson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.247)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alec Bohm: 6 HR / 26 R. Colt Emerson: 5 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).