Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryColt
4HR →5
26R →34
38RBI →39
7SB ←0
.226AVG ←.178
Current Season
CalebCategoryColt
1HR →3
15R ←7
22RBI ←8
4SB ←0
.183AVG →.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Durbin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse
Colt Emerson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.247)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Caleb Durbin: 4 HR / 26 R. Colt Emerson: 5 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).