Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryCasey
12HR →15
40R →44
58RBI ←54
3SB →8
.283AVG ←.263
Current Season
AlecCategoryCasey
7HR →12
26R →27
38RBI ←33
2SB →5
.281AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Burleson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Casey Schmitt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Alec Burleson: 12 HR / 40 R. Casey Schmitt: 15 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).