Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryPete
15HR →19
44R →52
54RBI →55
8SB ←3
.263AVG ←.258
Current Season
CaseyCategoryPete
12HR ←11
27R →34
33RBI →36
5SB ←2
.289AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Schmitt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Pete Alonso
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Casey Schmitt: 15 HR / 44 R. Pete Alonso: 19 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).