MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHC · 3B
Change to
Gabriel Arias
CHC · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Alex Bregman wins 2 (R, AVG); Gabriel Arias wins 2 (HR, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Alex Bregman
88.1
Gabriel Arias
89.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Alex Bregman
37.3%
Gabriel Arias
43.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Alex Bregman
5.7%
Gabriel Arias
10.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Alex Bregman
23.4%
Gabriel Arias
38.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Alex Bregman
6.6%
Gabriel Arias
24.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Alex Bregman
.318
Gabriel Arias
.275
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Alex Bregman
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .259
.231
Gabriel Arias
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .200
.187

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Alex Bregman
57
now 5
0
Gabriel Arias
57
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Alex Bregman
2038.40
now 28
5
Gabriel Arias
2038.40
now 2
2
RBIhigher is better
Alex Bregman
2024
now 18
3
Gabriel Arias
2024
now 4
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Alex Bregman
.0003.20
now 2
0
Gabriel Arias
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAlex Bregman — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeGabriel Arias — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet