MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 24, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Alex Lange’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Alex Lange wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.8
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
13.1%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
23.8%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
29.5%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
42.4%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
13.0%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.329
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
2.655.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.74
Burch Smith
2.655.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.151.56
now 1.35
1.25
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4039.60
now 26
34
Burch Smith
4039.60
now 20
30
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.000.480
now 0
00
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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