MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Alex Vesia
Alex Vesia
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Erik Miller.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Alex Vesia’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Erik Miller wins 2 categories (K, SV); Alex Vesia wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Vesia
91.7
Erik Miller
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
17.9%
Erik Miller
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
34.5%
Erik Miller
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
34.1%
Erik Miller
22.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Vesia
36.1%
Erik Miller
32.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Vesia
4.9%
Erik Miller
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Vesia
.256
Erik Miller
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Vesia
25.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.70
Erik Miller
25.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Vesia
.9001.60
now 0.93
1.24
Erik Miller
.9001.60
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Vesia
4038.60
now 28
32
Erik Miller
4038.60
now 24
33
Winshigher is better
Alex Vesia
.0002.80
now 1
12
Erik Miller
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Alex Vesia
.0006.60
now 2
14
Erik Miller
.0006.60
now 2
15
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAlex Vesia — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
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