MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Erik Miller wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Erik Miller
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Erik Miller
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Erik Miller
35.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Erik Miller
27.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Erik Miller
24.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Erik Miller
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Erik Miller
.257
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.694.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Erik Miller
2.694.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Erik Miller
1.151.56
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4031.60
now 20
5
Erik Miller
4031.60
now 24
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Erik Miller
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
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