MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Portrait of Alex Vesia
Alex Vesia
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jhoan Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Alex Vesia’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Jhoan Duran wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Alex Vesia wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Vesia
92.1
Jhoan Duran
100.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
16.2%
Jhoan Duran
18.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
31.2%
Jhoan Duran
35.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
31.9%
Jhoan Duran
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Vesia
33.6%
Jhoan Duran
39.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Vesia
6.1%
Jhoan Duran
3.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Vesia
.254
Jhoan Duran
.222
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Vesia
23.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
2.68
Jhoan Duran
23.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
2.06
WHIPlower is better
Alex Vesia
.9001.48
now 0.93
1.32
Jhoan Duran
.9001.48
now 0.96
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Vesia
4039.20
now 28
0
Jhoan Duran
4039.20
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Alex Vesia
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Jhoan Duran
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAlex Vesia — buy.conf 0.92
BuyJhoan Duran — buy.conf 0.92
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