MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luis Castillo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Andrew Abbott’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Castillo wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Andrew Abbott wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
92.4
Luis Castillo
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
10.4%
Luis Castillo
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
18.1%
Luis Castillo
19.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
29.2%
Luis Castillo
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Abbott
38.2%
Luis Castillo
42.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Abbott
8.1%
Luis Castillo
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Abbott
.338
Luis Castillo
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Abbott
3.426.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.61
Luis Castillo
3.426.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
4.63
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Abbott
1.291.52
now 1.44
1.42
Luis Castillo
1.291.52
now 1.45
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Abbott
4074.80
now 42
9
Luis Castillo
4074.80
now 56
13
Winshigher is better
Andrew Abbott
.0005.60
now 4
11
Luis Castillo
.0005.60
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Abbott — sell.conf 0.78
SellLuis Castillo — sell.conf 0.79
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