Who's more valuable, rest of season
Luis Severino.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Andrew Abbott’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Luis Severino wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Andrew Abbott wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
92.4
Luis Severino
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
10.4%
Luis Severino
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
18.1%
Luis Severino
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Abbott
29.2%
Luis Severino
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Abbott
38.2%
Luis Severino
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Abbott
8.1%
Luis Severino
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Abbott
.338
Luis Severino
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Abbott
3.784.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.61
Luis Severino
3.784.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.20
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Abbott
1.341.54
now 1.44
1.42
Luis Severino
1.341.54
now 1.47
1.41
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Abbott
4087.40
now 42
9
Luis Severino
4087.40
now 65
13
Winshigher is better
Andrew Abbott
.0005.60
now 4
1–1
Luis Severino
.0005.60
now 2
0–1
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Abbott — sell.conf 0.78
Hold · leans sellLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60