Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryTrevor
81K →88
4.61ERA →4.44
1.46WHIP →1.40
4–9W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryTrevor
42K ←38
4.02ERA ←6.84
1.44WHIP ←1.56
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Trevor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Andrew Abbott: 81 K / 4.61 ERA. Trevor Rogers: 88 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).