MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 13, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Jalen Beeks
Jalen Beeks
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 2 (K, SV); Jalen Beeks wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Jalen Beeks
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.4%
Jalen Beeks
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.4%
Jalen Beeks
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
31.2%
Jalen Beeks
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
41.7%
Jalen Beeks
42.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
4.7%
Jalen Beeks
10.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.313
Jalen Beeks
.363
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.544.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
3.94
Jalen Beeks
3.544.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.171.44
now 1.28
1.35
Jalen Beeks
1.171.44
now 1.37
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4046.40
now 17
38
Jalen Beeks
4046.40
now 18
19
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.20
now 1
14
Jalen Beeks
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Jalen Beeks
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeJalen Beeks — hold.conf 0.50
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